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Yiannis Mavris “Who was afraid of the people | Political and social significance of the Greek referendum of July 5, 2015”

The Greek referendum of 5 July 2015, in which the Greek people rejected with an overwhelming 61.3%, against 38.7%, the memorandum agreement for Greece promoted by the Eurogroup, was not an isolated "accident". It came to join the chain of referendums in which the political initiatives and institutions of the European Union (EU) were rejected by the popular vote: United Kingdom (2016), Greece (2015), Ireland (2001 and 2008), Netherlands (2005), France (2005), Sweden (2003), Denmark (2000, 1992).

The rejection, through referendums, of the policies of the ruling elites is the new form in which social discontent is manifested within the EU. In fact, the Greek rejection rate, together with the corresponding rejection rate of the Constitutional Treaty (the so-called “European Constitution”) in the Dutch referendum of 2005 (61.5%) is the highest ever observed among eleven (11) rejection referendums on European issues in the period of the last 50 years (Since 1972).


 

Ποιος φοβήθηκε τον λαό | Πολιτική και κοινωνική σημασία του ελληνικού δημοψηφίσματος της 5ης Ιουλίου 2015

Το ελληνικό δημοψήφισμα της 5ης Ιουλίου 2015, στο οποίο ο ελληνικός λαός απέρριψε με το συντριπτικό ποσοστό 61,3%, έναντι 38,7%, την προωθούμενη από το Eurogroup μνημονιακή συμφωνία για την Ελλάδα, δεν αποτέλεσε μεμονωμένο «ατύχημα». Ήρθε να προστεθεί στην αλυσίδα  των δημοψηφισμάτων εκείνων, στα οποία οι πολιτικές πρωτοβουλίες και οι θεσμοί της Ευρωπαϊκής Ένωσης (ΕΕ) αποδοκιμάστηκαν από τη λαϊκή ψήφο: Ηνωμένο Βασίλειο (2016), Ελλάδα (2015), Ιρλανδία (2001 και 2008), Ολλανδία (2005), Γαλλία (2005) Σουηδία (2003), Δανία (2000, 1992).

Η απόρριψη, μέσω δημοψηφισμάτων, της πολιτικής των κυρίαρχων ελίτ αποτελεί τη νέα μορφή με την οποία εκδηλώνεται η κοινωνική δυσαρέσκεια εντός της ΕΕ. Μάλιστα, το ελληνικό ποσοστό απόρριψης, μαζί με το αντίστοιχο ποσοστό απόρριψης της Συνταγματικής Συνθήκης (του λεγόμενου «Ευρωσυντάγματος») στο ολλανδικό δημοψήφισμα του 2005 (61,5%) είναι τα υψηλότερα, που έχουν παρατηρηθεί ποτέ, μεταξύ έντεκα (11) απορριπτικών δημοψηφισμάτων για ευρωπαϊκά ζητήματα, στην περίοδο των τελευταίων 50 χρόνων (από το 1972).

bio

Short curriculum vitae

www.mavris.gr

Yiannis Mavris was born in Athens in 1961. He studied Economics and Political Science. He holds a PhD in Political Science from the University of Athens, focusing on the electoral base of political parties in the post-junta period (1974-1985).

Since 1990 he has been systematically involved in the theory of political parties, the study of electoral behaviour in Greece and Cyprus, empirical quantitative political and social research, public opinion research, as well as the theory and practice of political polls. Since 1993, he has designed, supervised and scientifically analysed more than 1900 public opinion and special populations surveys. He has also conducted a significant number of surveys of political culture and electoral behaviour in Cyprus and in the Balkans (Albania, Bulgaria, North Macedonia), as well as surveys of political elites, some of which were conducted for the first time.

In the period 1993-1994, he served as director of political and social research at KEME/MEMRB and responsible for the Eurobarometer survey in Greece. He was co-founder of research company VPRC and its managing director from 1994 to 2007. In 2001 he founded the research institute Public Issue. Since December 2007 he has been exclusively involved in its management.

In the 1996 Greek Parliamentary elections, he conducted the first exit poll οn behalf of the Hellenic Broadcasting Corporation (HeBC/EΡT) and in the 2003 Cypriot Presidential elections, the first exit poll on behalf of the Cyprus Broadcasting Corporation (CyBC/ΡIK). In the Greek Parliamentary elections of 2004 and 2007, he successfully implemented and introduced – despite the strong reactions he initially provoked – the telephone method for the estimation of voting intentions.

During the last thirty years, he has also served, as a researcher and research associate in most of the country’s scientific institutions.

As an election analyst and public opinion research analyst, he has worked with major television and radio stations, as well as newspapers (CyBC 1993-present, Kathimerini 1993-2012, Phileleftheros (Nikosia) 1993-present HeBC/EΡT 1994-2000, Ta Nea 1996-2002, SKAI radio and television station 2004-2013, Avgi 2015-2016, Efimerida ton Syntakton 2013-present).

At the same time, at the academic level, he has taught: a) at the postgraduate level (2002-2004), theory and practice of public opinion research and polls, at the Departments of Communication & Media Studies and Political Science & Public Administration, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens. b) at the undergraduate level (2008-2009), political party theory, as Lecturer of Political Science, at the Department of Political Science & International Relations, University of Peloponnese.

He has authored seven books and has participated in numerous edited volumes and scientific conferences. His articles have been published in numerous journals (Hellenic Political Science Review, Emphasis, Epikentra, Theseis, New Left Review, Political Science Notebooks, Tetradia (Notebooks), To Syntagma etc.).

He has been a member of the Hellenic Political Science Association (HPSA), the American Political Science Association (APSA), the World Association for Public Opinion Research (WAPOR) and the Association of Greek Market and Opinion Research Companies (SEDEA, member of the Board and chairman of the Polling Committee).

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bio

Short curriculum vitae

www.mavris.gr

Yiannis Mavris was born in Athens in 1961. He studied Economics and Political Science. He holds a PhD in Political Science from the University of Athens, focusing on the electoral base of political parties in the post-junta period (1974-1985).

Since 1990 he has been systematically involved in the theory of political parties, the study of electoral behaviour in Greece and Cyprus, empirical quantitative political and social research, public opinion research, as well as the theory and practice of political polls. Since 1993, he has designed, supervised and scientifically analysed more than 1900 public opinion and special populations surveys. He has also conducted a significant number of surveys of political culture and electoral behaviour in Cyprus and in the Balkans (Albania, Bulgaria, North Macedonia), as well as surveys of political elites, some of which were conducted for the first time.

In the period 1993-1994, he served as director of political and social research at KEME/MEMRB and responsible for the Eurobarometer survey in Greece. He was co-founder of research company VPRC and its managing director from 1994 to 2007. In 2001 he founded the research institute Public Issue. Since December 2007 he has been exclusively involved in its management.

In the 1996 Greek Parliamentary elections, he conducted the first exit poll οn behalf of the Hellenic Broadcasting Corporation (HeBC/EΡT) and in the 2003 Cypriot Presidential elections, the first exit poll on behalf of the Cyprus Broadcasting Corporation (CyBC/ΡIK). In the Greek Parliamentary elections of 2004 and 2007, he successfully implemented and introduced – despite the strong reactions he initially provoked – the telephone method for the estimation of voting intentions.

During the last thirty years, he has also served, as a researcher and research associate in most of the country’s scientific institutions.

As an election analyst and public opinion research analyst, he has worked with major television and radio stations, as well as newspapers (CyBC 1993-present, Kathimerini 1993-2012, Phileleftheros (Nikosia) 1993-present HeBC/EΡT 1994-2000, Ta Nea 1996-2002, SKAI radio and television station 2004-2013, Avgi 2015-2016, Efimerida ton Syntakton 2013-present).

At the same time, at the academic level, he has taught: a) at the postgraduate level (2002-2004), theory and practice of public opinion research and polls, at the Departments of Communication & Media Studies and Political Science & Public Administration, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens. b) at the undergraduate level (2008-2009), political party theory, as Lecturer of Political Science, at the Department of Political Science & International Relations, University of Peloponnese.

He has authored seven books and has participated in numerous edited volumes and scientific conferences. His articles have been published in numerous journals (Hellenic Political Science Review, Emphasis, Epikentra, Theseis, New Left Review, Political Science Notebooks, Tetradia (Notebooks), To Syntagma etc.).

He has been a member of the Hellenic Political Science Association (HPSA), the American Political Science Association (APSA), the World Association for Public Opinion Research (WAPOR) and the Association of Greek Market and Opinion Research Companies (SEDEA, member of the Board and chairman of the Polling Committee).

seminar video

Play Video

seminar video

Mavris-Seminar-Cover

seminar

Yiannis Mavris “Who was afraid of the people | Political and social significance of the Greek referendum of July 5, 2015”

The Greek referendum of 5 July 2015, in which the Greek people rejected with an overwhelming 61.3%, against 38.7%, the memorandum agreement for Greece promoted by the Eurogroup, was not an isolated "accident". It came to join the chain of referendums in which the political initiatives and institutions of the European Union (EU) were rejected by the popular vote: United Kingdom (2016), Greece (2015), Ireland (2001 and 2008), Netherlands (2005), France (2005), Sweden (2003), Denmark (2000, 1992).

The rejection, through referendums, of the policies of the ruling elites is the new form in which social discontent is manifested within the EU. In fact, the Greek rejection rate, together with the corresponding rejection rate of the Constitutional Treaty (the so-called “European Constitution”) in the Dutch referendum of 2005 (61.5%) is the highest ever observed among eleven (11) rejection referendums on European issues in the period of the last 50 years (Since 1972).


 

Ποιος φοβήθηκε τον λαό | Πολιτική και κοινωνική σημασία του ελληνικού δημοψηφίσματος της 5ης Ιουλίου 2015

Το ελληνικό δημοψήφισμα της 5ης Ιουλίου 2015, στο οποίο ο ελληνικός λαός απέρριψε με το συντριπτικό ποσοστό 61,3%, έναντι 38,7%, την προωθούμενη από το Eurogroup μνημονιακή συμφωνία για την Ελλάδα, δεν αποτέλεσε μεμονωμένο «ατύχημα». Ήρθε να προστεθεί στην αλυσίδα  των δημοψηφισμάτων εκείνων, στα οποία οι πολιτικές πρωτοβουλίες και οι θεσμοί της Ευρωπαϊκής Ένωσης (ΕΕ) αποδοκιμάστηκαν από τη λαϊκή ψήφο: Ηνωμένο Βασίλειο (2016), Ελλάδα (2015), Ιρλανδία (2001 και 2008), Ολλανδία (2005), Γαλλία (2005) Σουηδία (2003), Δανία (2000, 1992).

Η απόρριψη, μέσω δημοψηφισμάτων, της πολιτικής των κυρίαρχων ελίτ αποτελεί τη νέα μορφή με την οποία εκδηλώνεται η κοινωνική δυσαρέσκεια εντός της ΕΕ. Μάλιστα, το ελληνικό ποσοστό απόρριψης, μαζί με το αντίστοιχο ποσοστό απόρριψης της Συνταγματικής Συνθήκης (του λεγόμενου «Ευρωσυντάγματος») στο ολλανδικό δημοψήφισμα του 2005 (61,5%) είναι τα υψηλότερα, που έχουν παρατηρηθεί ποτέ, μεταξύ έντεκα (11) απορριπτικών δημοψηφισμάτων για ευρωπαϊκά ζητήματα, στην περίοδο των τελευταίων 50 χρόνων (από το 1972).